Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Cardinals vs Brewers: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 14)
Last updated: September 14, 2025Game Time: 9/14, 02:10PM
Brief Intro
The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in what promises to be a pivotal matchup. The Brewers are currently favored at −182, with the Cardinals as +148 underdogs, and a substantial 85% of the betting money is backing Milwaukee. This matchup will be heavily influenced by the starting pitchers, as well as key lineup advantages and potential umpire influence.
Starting Pitching Analysis
Pitching Matchup: Miles Mikolas vs Jose Quintana
Miles Mikolas (STL):
Miles Mikolas brings a diverse pitch arsenal to the mound with the following breakdown: Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage, 92.8 mph), Slider (24% usage, 87.7 mph), Curveball (17% usage, 75.8 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 92.3 mph), Changeup (12% usage, 85.8 mph), and Sweeper (3% usage, 80.8 mph). Mikolas is a pitch-mix artist, relying on a variety of pitches rather than sheer velocity to outsmart hitters. The Brewers lineup averages .264 this season with a projected xBA of .256 against Mikolas's arsenal, indicating a slight advantage for the pitcher.
Jose Quintana (MIL):
Jose Quintana counters with a repertoire focusing on Sinker (44% usage, 90.5 mph), Changeup (22% usage, 85.6 mph), Curveball (15% usage, 78.2 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage, 90.4 mph), and Slurve (8% usage, 78.4 mph). Quintana's approach leans heavily on his sinker to induce ground balls. The Cardinals lineup averages .255 this season but projects to .238 against Quintana's offerings, suggesting a notable edge for him on the mound.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Cardinals vs Jose Quintana:
- The Cardinals lineup averages .2547 this season but projects to .2381 against Quintana's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Nolan Gorman: Season BA .211 → xBA vs arsenal .247 (+36 points), Season K% 32.4% → Arsenal K% 28.0% (-4.4%)
- Biggest Decrease: Iván Herrera: Season BA .285 → xBA vs arsenal .226 (-59 points), Season K% 18.7% → Arsenal K% 23.2% (+4.5%)
For Brewers vs Miles Mikolas:
- The Brewers lineup averages .2642 this season but projects to .2557 against Mikolas's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Joey Ortiz: Season BA .230 → xBA vs arsenal .251 (+21 points), Season K% 14.5% → Arsenal K% 15.4% (+0.9%)
- Biggest Decrease: Brice Turang: Season BA .287 → xBA vs arsenal .256 (-31 points), Season K% 22.4% → Arsenal K% 23.9% (+1.5%)
Whiff Outlook
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Cardinals' projected K-rate is 22.7% vs Quintana — up 0.6% from their 22.1% season average.
- The Brewers' projected K-rate is 21.2% vs Mikolas — up 1.9% from their 19.4% season average.
Both teams show moderate increases in strikeout potential, suggesting some value in strikeout props.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
Although several players show notable variations in expected performance, strict criteria for batting and strikeout props are not met in this matchup. Therefore, there are no significant statistical edges that meet our betting threshold today.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Nolan Gorman shows potential for improved performance against Quintana, though not enough to meet strict betting criteria.
- Increasing strikeout rates for both teams suggest moderate potential for strikeout props.
- Umpire assignment is unknown, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
- Overall, no significant prop bets meet our stringent criteria for this game.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Cardinals vs Brewers game? A: No players meet our strict betting criteria.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess strikeout or walk tendencies.
Q: What time is the Cardinals vs Brewers game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/14, 02:10PM.
---
Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!
---
