August 31, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Ryan Chen

Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.

Brewers vs Jays: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 31)

Last updated: August 31, 2025

Game Time: 8/31, 01:37PM

Matchup Setup

The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Toronto Blue Jays in an intriguing matchup, with Toronto favored at -124 on DraftKings, while Milwaukee is priced at +101. Despite the odds, 52% of the money is backing the Brewers, highlighting potential value on the underdog in this clash of styles.

Mound Matchup

Pitching Matchup: Brandon Woodruff vs Max Scherzer

Brandon Woodruff (MIL):

Woodruff brings a diverse arsenal to the mound with a balanced mix of pitch types: Four-Seam (32% usage, 93.2 mph), Sinker (32% usage, 93.0 mph), Changeup (19% usage, 83.7 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 89.8 mph), Curveball (4% usage, 78.8 mph), and Sweeper (1% usage, 80.6 mph). As a pitch-mix artist, Woodruff relies on his varied offerings to keep hitters guessing. The Blue Jays lineup, however, has shown resilience against such diversity, averaging .281 this season with a projected xBA of .281 against Woodruff's arsenal.

Max Scherzer (TOR):

Scherzer, known for his power pitching, employs a dominant Four-Seam (47% usage, 93.7 mph) and a biting Slider (24% usage, 86.5 mph) as his primary weapons, complemented by a Changeup (14% usage, 85.0 mph), Curveball (12% usage, 76.7 mph), and Cutter (3% usage, 87.5 mph). The Brewers lineup averages .272 this season, but projects slightly lower with a .266 xBA against Scherzer's power-centric approach.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Milwaukee vs Max Scherzer: The Brewers lineup averages .272 this season but projects to .266 vs Scherzer's arsenal. Key performers include Andrew Vaughn, who shows a significant boost: Season BA .237 → xBA vs arsenal .305 (+68 points), Season K% 17.8% → Arsenal K% 16.0% (-1.8%).

For Toronto vs Brandon Woodruff: The Blue Jays lineup averages .276 this season and projects a higher .281 against Woodruff. Notably, Jr. Guerrero improves: Season BA .288 → xBA vs arsenal .331 (+43 points), Season K% 14.6% → Arsenal K% 13.1% (-1.5%).

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Brewers' projected K-rate is 20.9% vs Scherzer — up 1.8% from their 19.1% season average, suggesting a moderate strikeout risk. Conversely, the Blue Jays project a reduced K-rate of 15.8% vs Woodruff — down 1.6% from their 17.4% season average, indicating a favorable contact scenario.

Plate Umpire Analysis

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.237 → .305, +68 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Max Scherzer strikeout OVER - Brewers' K-rate jumps to 20.9% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Andrew Vaughn shows significant batting advantage against Scherzer, making him a strong prop candidate.
Max Scherzer has a promising strikeout prop opportunity with the Brewers' increased K-rate.
Umpire assignment uncertainty adds volatility to betting propositions.
Overall: Back Scherzer's strikeout potential and Vaughn's offensive upside.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Brewers vs Jays game? A: Andrew Vaughn meets our strict betting criteria with a notable increase in xBA against Max Scherzer.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is currently TBA, creating uncertainty.

Q: What time is the Brewers vs Jays game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/31, 01:37PM.

---

Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!

See all our best bets daily!

---