Written by: Ryan Chen
Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.
Brewers vs Cardinals: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 20)
Last updated: September 20, 2025Game Time: 9/20, 07:15PM
Game Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals in an intriguing matchup. DraftKings lists the Brewers as -150 favorites, with the Cardinals as +123 underdogs, and 75% of the money is backing the Brewers. This game promises to be a thrilling encounter with both teams looking to leverage their strategic advantages.
Mound Matchup
Pitching Matchup: Chad Patrick vs Miles Mikolas
Chad Patrick (MIL):
Chad Patrick brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Slider (34% usage, 80.3 mph), Sinker (28% usage, 91.5 mph), Cutter (25% usage, 87.4 mph), Changeup (9% usage, 81.5 mph), Four-Seam (3% usage, 91.5 mph), Curveball (1% usage, 68.7 mph). As a pitcher who relies heavily on his slider and sinker, Patrick is a pitch-mix artist. The Cardinals lineup averages .254 this season with a projected xBA of .264 against Patrick’s varied arsenal.
Miles Mikolas (STL):
Miles Mikolas counters with his own intricate mix: Four-Seam (28% usage, 92.9 mph), Slider (23% usage, 87.7 mph), Curveball (17% usage, 75.9 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 92.3 mph), Changeup (12% usage, 85.8 mph), Sweeper (3% usage, 80.8 mph). Mikolas offers a balanced approach between velocity and movement. The Brewers lineup averages .262 this season with a projected xBA of .258 against Mikolas' offerings.
Batting Edges vs Arsenal
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Brewers vs Mikolas:
- The Brewers lineup averages .262 this season but projects to .258 vs Mikolas’ arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .255 → xBA vs arsenal .298 (+44 points), Season K% 17.9% → Arsenal K% 17.1% (-0.8%)
- Biggest Decrease: Brice Turang: Season BA .287 → xBA vs arsenal .256 (-31 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 23.7% (+1.2%)
For Cardinals vs Patrick:
- The Cardinals lineup averages .255 this season but projects to .264 vs Patrick’s arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Brendan Donovan: Season BA .283 → xBA vs arsenal .348 (+65 points), Season K% 13.0% → Arsenal K% 11.0% (-2.0%)
- Biggest Decrease: Iván Herrera: Season BA .280 → xBA vs arsenal .228 (-52 points), Season K% 19.1% → Arsenal K% 22.4% (+3.3%)
Strikeout Trends
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Brewers' projected K-rate is 20.4% vs Mikolas — up 1.5% from their 18.9% season average.
- The Cardinals' projected K-rate is 18.2% vs Patrick — down 1.5% from their 19.6% season average.
Umpire Trends
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Brendan Donovan (.283 → .348, +65 points) meets betting lean criteria!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Andrew Vaughn of the Brewers shows potential against Mikolas with a significant batting average increase.
- Brendan Donovan of the Cardinals is a standout performer against Patrick’s arsenal, showing a notable increase in expected performance.
- No significant strikeout prop opportunities due to lack of sufficient K-rate increases against either pitcher.
- Umpire assignment is unknown, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Brewers vs Cardinals game? A: Brendan Donovan shows the most significant positive differential, making him a strong prop candidate.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making it difficult to determine tendencies.
Q: What time is the Brewers vs Cardinals game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/20 at 07:15PM.
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