September 19, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Jake Turner

Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.

Brewers vs Cardinals: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 19)

Last updated: September 19, 2025

Game Time: 9/19, 08:15PM

Today's Setup

The Milwaukee Brewers head to St. Louis to face the Cardinals in an intriguing matchup that features a clash of styles on the mound. While the betting odds for this game are not available, the pitching duel between the flame-throwing Jacob Misiorowski and the crafty veteran Sonny Gray promises plenty of intrigue for bettors and fans alike.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Jacob Misiorowski vs Sonny Gray

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL):

Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage, 99.2 mph), Slider (25% usage, 94.1 mph), Curveball (14% usage, 87.0 mph), Changeup (6% usage, 92.2 mph)

Misiorowski is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying on his blazing fastball to overpower hitters. His mix of pitches is aggressive, aiming to induce swing and miss. However, the Cardinals' lineup averages .250 this season and projects a .247 xBA against Misiorowski's arsenal.

Sonny Gray (STL):

Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage, 91.7 mph), Sweeper (20% usage, 85.1 mph), Curveball (18% usage, 80.2 mph), Sinker (17% usage, 92.4 mph), Cutter (12% usage, 87.8 mph), Changeup (9% usage, 86.2 mph), Slider (2% usage, 84.4 mph)

Gray is a pitch-mix artist, utilizing a wide array of pitches with varying speeds and movement to keep hitters off-balance. The Brewers lineup averages .262 this season but projects a .251 xBA against Gray's diverse offerings.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Brewers vs Sonny Gray:

The Brewers lineup averages .262 this season but projects to .251 vs Gray’s arsenal.
Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .253 → xBA vs arsenal .275 (+22 points), Season K% 18.0% → Arsenal K% 17.8% (-0.2%)
Sal Frelick: Season BA .296 → xBA vs arsenal .233 (-63 points), Season K% 13.0% → Arsenal K% 15.6% (+2.6%)

For Cardinals vs Jacob Misiorowski:

The Cardinals lineup averages .250 this season but projects to .247 vs Misiorowski’s arsenal.
Nolan Arenado: Season BA .234 → xBA vs arsenal .259 (+25 points), Season K% 10.1% → Arsenal K% 8.1% (-2.0%)
Iván Herrera: Season BA .280 → xBA vs arsenal .212 (-68 points), Season K% 19.1% → Arsenal K% 23.9% (+4.8%)

Strikeout Trends

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Brewers' projected K-rate is 20.1% vs Gray — up 1.1% from their 19.0% season average.
The Cardinals' projected K-rate is 22.8% vs Misiorowski — up 2.6% from their 20.3% season average.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.253 → .275, +22 points) meets betting lean criteria!

📢 Prop Alert: Nolan Arenado (.234 → .259, +25 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Jacob Misiorowski strikeout OVER - Cardinals' K-rate jumps to 22.8% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Andrew Vaughn and Nolan Arenado offer strong prop opportunities with significant xBA boosts.
Jacob Misiorowski's strikeout potential is high against the Cardinals' elevated K-rate.
Umpire assignment is unknown, adding unpredictability to prop bets.
Lean on player props for Vaughn and Arenado, and consider Misiorowski's strikeout over.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Brewers vs Cardinals game? A: Andrew Vaughn and Nolan Arenado meet our strict betting criteria with significant xBA boosts.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, which raises volatility concerns.

Q: What time is the Brewers vs Cardinals game? A: 9/19, 08:15PM

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