Written by: Michael Rivera
Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.
ATH vs Pirates: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 21)
Last updated: September 21, 2025Game Time: 9/21, 01:35PM
Today's Setup
The ATH faces off against the Pirates in a matchup that's drawing attention due to its intriguing pitching duel and lineup dynamics. Although betting odds are not available for this game, there are numerous angles to explore in terms of pitching styles and batting matchups which could present valuable insights for bettors.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Mitch Spence vs Mike Burrows
Mitch Spence (ATH):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage, 95.6 mph), Slider (36% usage, 84.1 mph), Curveball (8% usage, 78.7 mph), Changeup (4% usage, 85.9 mph)
- Interpretation: Spence relies heavily on velocity with his four-seam fastball and complements it with a high-usage slider, making him a power pitcher with a slight mix of off-speed pitches.
- Matchup Insight: The Pirates lineup averages .233 this season with a projected xBA of .245 against Spence's arsenal.
Mike Burrows (PIT):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage, 95.5 mph), Changeup (24% usage, 87.2 mph), Slider (20% usage, 87.1 mph), Curveball (12% usage, 78.4 mph), Sinker (5% usage, 95.6 mph)
- Interpretation: Burrows is a pitcher who mixes velocity with a balanced array of secondary pitches, aiming to disrupt timing and induce weak contact.
- Matchup Insight: The ATH lineup averages .259 this season but projects to .245 against Burrows’ arsenal.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For ATH vs Mike Burrows:
- Overall Matchup: The ATH lineup averages .259 this season but projects to .244 against Burrows’ varied pitch mix.
- Key Performers:
- Overall Matchup: The Pirates lineup averages .233 this season but projects to .245 against Spence’s power arsenal.
- Key Performers:
Whiff Outlook
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- ATH: The ATH's projected K-rate is 24.8% vs Burrows — up 3.2% from their 21.6% season average.
- Pirates: The Pirates' projected K-rate is 26.8% vs Spence — up 3.0% from their 23.8% season average.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
- Batting Leans:
- Strikeout Props:
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Key player advantages/disadvantages: Jacob Wilson faces a tough matchup against Burrows, while Jack Suwinski could outperform his season average against Spence.
- Pitcher prop opportunities: No overwhelming strikeout prop opportunities due to moderate increases in K-rates.
- Umpire impact assessment: With umpire information unavailable, betting props have increased uncertainty.
- Overall betting recommendation: Without significant statistical edges or confirmed umpire tendencies, approach this game with caution.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the ATH vs Pirates game? A: No players meet our strict betting criteria.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, increasing volatility in prop bets.
Q: What time is the ATH vs Pirates game? A: The game is at 9/21, 01:35PM.
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