September 20, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Ryan Chen

Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.

ATH vs Pirates: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 20)

Last updated: September 20, 2025

Game Time: 9/20, 06:40PM

Brief Intro

As the ATH take on the Pittsburgh Pirates, fans and bettors alike will be closely watching this intriguing matchup. With no betting odds currently available, the focus shifts to the on-field tactics, particularly the pitching duel and lineup matchups that could sway the outcome.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Luis Morales vs Bubba Chandler

Luis Morales (ATH):

Luis Morales brings a diverse arsenal to the mound with a Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage, 97.2 mph), Sweeper (26% usage, 82.2 mph), Changeup (13% usage, 89.5 mph), and Slider (8% usage, 85.6 mph). Morales is a velocity-heavy pitcher capable of overpowering batters with his fastball, complemented by movement-driven secondary pitches. The Pirates lineup averages .249 this season with a projected .229 against Morales's arsenal, indicating a potential struggle against his mix.

Bubba Chandler (PIT):

Bubba Chandler counters with his own high-velocity Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage, 98.8 mph), Changeup (22% usage, 91.5 mph), Slider (17% usage, 88.6 mph), and Curveball (8% usage, 85.4 mph). Chandler's approach focuses on power and late movement, posing a significant challenge to hitters. The ATH lineup, averaging .266 this season, is projected to drop to .247 against Chandler's pitches, suggesting a difficult matchup.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For ATH vs Bubba Chandler: The ATH lineup averages .266 this season but projects to .247 against Chandler's arsenal.

Biggest Increase: Shea Langeliers shows a slight increase with a season BA of .261 to an xBA of .271, but his K% jumps from 19.7% to 24.3%, indicating more strikeout risk.
Biggest Decrease: Jacob Wilson's BA drops significantly from .317 to .233, with a corresponding spike in K% from 7.2% to 25.0%.

For Pirates vs Luis Morales: The Pirates lineup averages .249 this season but projects to .229 against Morales's arsenal.

Biggest Increase: Bryan Reynolds improves his BA from .243 to .296 against Morales, a substantial 53-point increase, while his K% slightly decreases.
Biggest Decrease: Nick Yorke sees a sharp decline from .250 to .159, with his K% escalating from 22.5% to 34.3%.

Strikeout Trends

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The ATH's projected K-rate is 24.5% vs Bubba Chandler — up 2.8% from their 21.7% season average.
The Pirates' projected K-rate is 27.3% vs Luis Morales — up 5.1% from their 22.2% season average.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: TBA Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Bryan Reynolds (.243 → .296, +53 points) meets batting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Luis Morales strikeout OVER - Pirates' K-rate jumps to 27.3% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Bryan Reynolds is a standout performer against Morales, showing a strong projected BA increase.
Luis Morales presents a compelling strikeout opportunity with the Pirates' elevated K-rate.
Umpire assignment is TBA, introducing uncertainty in strikeout and walk prop bets.
Overall, focus on Reynolds for batting props and Morales for strikeout props given statistical edges.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the ATH vs Pirates game? A: Bryan Reynolds displays a significant statistical advantage against Luis Morales, making him a strong player prop candidate.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, so current data does not provide insight into umpire tendencies.

Q: What time is the ATH vs Pirates game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/20 at 06:40PM.

---

Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!

See all our best bets daily!

---