Written by: David Mitchell
David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.
ATH vs Angels: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 07)
Last updated: September 07, 2025
Game Time: 9/7, 04:07PM
Game Preview
The Oakland Athletics are set to face the Los Angeles Angels in what promises to be a thrilling matchup. The Athletics come in as a slight favorite with a -122 line on DraftKings, while the Angels are a +100 underdog. Notably, 59% of the betting money is backing the Athletics, indicating strong public confidence in their chances.
Pitcher Breakdown
Pitching Matchup: Luis Severino vs Mitch Farris
Luis Severino (ATH):
Severino brings a diverse pitching arsenal to the mound, featuring:
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage, 96.1 mph)
- Sweeper (25% usage, 84.7 mph)
- Sinker (21% usage, 95.6 mph)
- Cutter (18% usage, 93.2 mph)
- Changeup (5% usage, 86.4 mph)
- Slider (4% usage, 87.0 mph)
Severino's velocity-heavy approach makes him a formidable presence. The Angels lineup averages .223 this season but projects a slight improvement with an xBA of .235 against Severino's mix.
Mitch Farris (LAA):
Farris employs a mixed arsenal, making it challenging to predict his exact strategy. The Athletics lineup, which averages .250, projects to maintain this average against Farris's varied offerings.
Lineup Advantage vs Arsenal
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For ATH vs Mitch Farris:
- The Athletics lineup maintains a .250 average, projecting the same against Farris's mixed arsenal.
For LAA vs Luis Severino:
- The Angels lineup averages .223 this season, and projects to .235 against Severino's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Jo Adell shows a significant boost: Season BA .239 → xBA .283 (+44 points), Season K% 26.0% → Arsenal K% 22.7% (-3.3%).
- Biggest Decrease: Taylor Ward experiences a decline: Season BA .226 → xBA .209 (-17 points), Season K% 25.9% → Arsenal K% 22.5% (-3.4%).
Contact vs Strikeout Profile
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Athletics' projected K-rate is 22.5% vs Mitch Farris — consistent with their 22.5% season average.
- The Angels' projected K-rate is 26.1% vs Luis Severino — down 1.3% from their 27.4% season average, suggesting potential contact play.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Jo Adell (.239 → .283, +44 points) meets betting lean criteria!
No significant statistical edges meet our strikeout prop threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Jo Adell is a standout prop bet with a significant increase in projected batting average.
- No clear strikeout prop opportunities with both teams showing minimal deviations from their season K-rates.
- Umpire assignment is TBA, adding an element of unpredictability to the game.
- Overall, Jo Adell's batting prop provides the most promising betting opportunity.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the ATH vs LAA game? A: Jo Adell shows strong potential with a projected batting average increase from .239 to .283.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, leaving tendencies unknown.
Q: What time is the ATH vs LAA game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/7, 04:07PM.
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