Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Angels vs Rockies: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 19)
Last updated: September 19, 2025
Game Time: 9/19, 08:10PM
Matchup Setup
The Los Angeles Angels are set to face off against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. DraftKings lists the Angels as a −123 favorite, with the Rockies as a +102 underdog. A significant 82% of the betting money is backing the Angels, indicating strong public confidence in their chances.
Starting Pitching Analysis
Pitching Matchup: Mitch Farris vs Bradley Blalock
Mitch Farris (LAA):
Mitch Farris brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage, 90.4 mph), Changeup (29% usage, 77.5 mph), and Slider (25% usage, 81.5 mph). As a pitch-mix artist, Farris relies on changing speeds and locations to disrupt batters' timing. The Rockies lineup, which averages .257 this season, projects to hit .228 against Farris's offerings.
Bradley Blalock (COL):
Bradley Blalock counters with a power-focused approach: Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage, 94.6 mph), Splitter (14% usage, 86.9 mph), Slider (14% usage, 85.3 mph), Curveball (14% usage, 80.9 mph), and Cutter (10% usage, 89.7 mph). Blalock’s velocity-heavy style could stymie the Angels, who average .215 this season but project to .219 against his pitches.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For the Angels vs Blalock:
- The Angels, with a season average of .215, project to .219 against Blalock's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Luis Rengifo shows promise with a season BA of .240, projecting to .275 (+35 points) with a decrease in K% from 18.9% to 18.3%.
- Biggest Decrease: Taylor Ward's season BA of .225 falls to .202 against Blalock, a drop of 23 points, while his K% slightly increases.
For the Rockies vs Farris:
- The Rockies, with a season average of .257, project to .228 against Farris.
- Biggest Increase: No key Rockies batter shows a significant xBA increase against Farris.
- Biggest Decrease: Blaine Crim's BA plummets from .250 to .168 (-82 points), with a K% increase from 22.5% to 36.7%.
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Angels' projected K-rate is 33.6% vs Blalock — up 4.9% from their 28.7% season average, indicating potential value in strikeout props.
- The Rockies' projected K-rate is 28.8% vs Farris — up 5.1% from their 23.7% season average, suggesting a similar opportunity.
Umpire Influence
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Luis Rengifo (.240 → .275, +35 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Mitch Farris strikeout OVER - Rockies' K-rate jumps to 28.8% vs this arsenal!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Bradley Blalock strikeout OVER - Angels' K-rate jumps to 33.6% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Luis Rengifo presents a strong batting edge against Blalock.
- Both pitchers present strong strikeout prop opportunities given the increased K-rates.
- Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to betting props.
- The Angels are favored, but Rockies' strikeout issues could be pivotal.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Angels vs Rockies game? A: Luis Rengifo meets our strict betting criteria with a significant boost in expected batting average.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making this aspect uncertain.
Q: What time is the Angels vs Rockies game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/19 at 08:10PM.
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