August 22, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

Twins vs Sox: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 22)

Last updated: August 22, 2025

Game Time: 8/22, 07:40PM

Game Preview

The Minnesota Twins will face off against the Chicago White Sox in a highly anticipated matchup. According to DraftKings, the Twins are favorites with a line of −139, while the White Sox are underdogs at +114. Interestingly, 51% of the betting public is backing the White Sox, indicating a potential value play on the underdog.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Zebby Matthews vs Aaron Civale

Zebby Matthews (MIN):

Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage, 96.6 mph), Slider (26% usage, 88.6 mph), Cutter (12% usage, 92.1 mph), Changeup (11% usage, 87.6 mph), Curveball (6% usage, 83.4 mph), Sinker (4% usage, 96.2 mph)

Zebby Matthews is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying primarily on his fastball and slider to overpower hitters. The White Sox lineup averages .249 this season with a projected xBA of .250 against Matthews' arsenal, showing little discrepancy.

Aaron Civale (CWS):

Arsenal: Cutter (34% usage, 89.0 mph), Sinker (18% usage, 92.2 mph), Curveball (17% usage, 77.5 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage, 91.9 mph), Slider (9% usage, 83.1 mph), Splitter (6% usage, 85.5 mph), Sweeper (0% usage, 80.7 mph)

Aaron Civale is a pitch-mix artist, utilizing a diverse arsenal to keep hitters off-balance. The Twins lineup averages .240 this season but projects to .250 against Civale's offerings, indicating potential for offensive production.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For the Twins vs Aaron Civale:

The Twins lineup averages .240 this season but projects to .250 vs Civale's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Kody Clemens: Season BA .207 → xBA vs arsenal .345 (+138 points), Season K% 22.9% → Arsenal K% 18.8% (-4.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Luke Keaschall: Season BA .333 → xBA vs arsenal .243 (-90 points), Season K% 12.2% → Arsenal K% 10.4% (-1.8%)

For the White Sox vs Zebby Matthews:

The White Sox lineup averages .249 this season and projects to .250 vs Matthews' arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Kyle Teel: Season BA .270 → xBA vs arsenal .295 (+25 points), Season K% 23.8% → Arsenal K% 23.9% (+0.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Mike Tauchman: Season BA .273 → xBA vs arsenal .248 (-25 points), Season K% 23.1% → Arsenal K% 23.0% (-0.1%)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Twins' projected K-rate is 21.3% vs Civale — down 1.1% from their 22.3% season average.
The White Sox's projected K-rate is 22.9% vs Matthews — up 1.8% from their 21.0% season average.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Kody Clemens (.207 → .345, +138 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No significant strikeout prop opportunities meet our betting threshold in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Player Advantage: Kody Clemens shows a significant advantage against Aaron Civale's arsenal.
Pitcher Prop: No standout K prop opportunities from the projected K-rates.
Umpire Impact: Umpire assignment pending; volatility expected.
Betting Recommendation: Consider player props on Kody Clemens due to his favorable matchup.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Twins vs White Sox game? A: Kody Clemens (.207 → .345, +138 points) meets our strict betting criteria.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, adding volatility to prop bets.

Q: What time is the Twins vs White Sox game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/22 at 07:40PM.

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