October 8, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Ryan Chen

Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.

Brewers vs Cubs: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 08)

Last updated: October 08, 2025

Game Time: 10/8, 05:08PM

Brief Intro

The Milwaukee Brewers take on the Chicago Cubs in a compelling NL Central showdown at Wrigley Field. Chicago, a slight favorite at -123, will look to hold off the underdog Brewers, who have 51% of the betting money backing them at +102. This game not only offers a classic divisional rivalry but also an intriguing pitching matchup that could sway the betting odds.

Rotation Report

Pitching Matchup: Quinn Priester (MIL) vs Jameson Taillon (CHC)

Quinn Priester (MIL):

Priester brings a diverse pitch mix to the mound, featuring a Sinker (42% usage, 93.9 mph), Slider (27% usage, 86.1 mph), Cutter (20% usage, 92.3 mph), Curveball (9% usage, 80.9 mph), and an occasional Changeup (1% usage, 88.4 mph). As a velocity-heavy pitcher, Priester relies on his sinker to induce ground balls. The Cubs lineup, averaging .253 this season, projects a .265 xBA against Priester's arsenal, indicating a potential struggle for the Milwaukee pitcher against a contact-oriented lineup.

Jameson Taillon (CHC):

Taillon counters with a comprehensive mix: Four-Seam (38% usage, 92.3 mph), Sweeper (15% usage, 80.2 mph), Cutter (15% usage, 85.8 mph), Curveball (14% usage, 79.6 mph), Changeup (11% usage, 84.0 mph), and a Sinker (7% usage, 92.3 mph). Known for his pitch-mix artistry, Taillon faces a Brewers lineup batting .259 on the season, with a projected .258 xBA against his array of pitches, suggesting a more balanced matchup.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Brewers vs Jameson Taillon: The Brewers' lineup averages .259 this season, but projects a slight dip to .258 against Taillon's varied approach. Key performers include:

Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .254 → xBA vs arsenal .281 (+27 points), Season K% 17.9% → Arsenal K% 17.3% (-0.6%)
Sal Frelick: Season BA .288 → xBA vs arsenal .236 (-52 points), Season K% 13.5% → Arsenal K% 15.1% (+1.6%)

For Cubs vs Quinn Priester: The Cubs, hitting .253 this season, are projected to improve to .265 against Priester's offerings. Notable changes include:

Ian Happ: Season BA .243 → xBA vs arsenal .289 (+46 points), Season K% 22.8% → Arsenal K% 19.5% (-3.3%)
Kyle Tucker: Season BA .266 → xBA vs arsenal .248 (-18 points), Season K% 14.7% → Arsenal K% 22.0% (+7.3%)

K-Risk Analysis

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Brewers' projected K-rate is 19.8% vs Taillon — up 0.8% from their 19.0% season average.
The Cubs' projected K-rate is 18.5% vs Priester — down 1.9% from their 20.5% season average.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.254 → .281, +27 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant strikeout prop opportunities meet the threshold.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Ian Happ shows a significant batting advantage against Priester, suggesting a potential for increased offensive output.
Andrew Vaughn is the standout batting prop candidate with a notable xBA increase.
With no umpire assignment, prop volatility remains high, advising caution.
Overall, the Cubs' lineup seems better positioned to capitalize on Priester's pitching style.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Brewers vs Cubs game? A: Andrew Vaughn meets our strict betting criteria with a significant xBA increase against Taillon.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, hence, analysis isn't possible at this time.

Q: What time is the Brewers vs Cubs game? A: The game is scheduled for 10/8, 05:08PM.

---

Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!

See all our best bets daily!

---