August 26, 2025
Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.


Tigers vs ATH: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 26)

Last updated: August 26, 2025

Game Time: 8/26, 10:05PM

Matchup Setup

The Detroit Tigers visit the Athletics in a matchup where the Tigers are favored by DraftKings at −144 against the Athletics, who sit at +118 underdogs. With 89% of the money backing the Tigers, this game highlights significant betting interest in Detroit's ability to capitalize on their pitcher advantage.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Charlie Morton vs Osvaldo Bido

Charlie Morton (DET):

Charlie Morton features a diverse arsenal with a Curveball (38% usage, 81.4 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage, 94.2 mph), Sinker (15% usage, 94.0 mph), Changeup (10% usage, 87.5 mph), and Cutter (9% usage, 88.0 mph). Morton is a pitch-mix artist, utilizing his curveball as a primary weapon to disrupt hitters' timing. The Athletics lineup averages .243 this season with a projected xBA of .243 vs Morton's arsenal.

Osvaldo Bido (ATH):

Osvaldo Bido counters with a Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage, 94.4 mph), Slider (28% usage, 85.2 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 94.7 mph), Changeup (11% usage, 88.6 mph), and Cutter (8% usage, 86.6 mph). Bido relies on velocity, primarily using his fastball to set up off-speed pitches. The Tigers lineup averages .251 this season with a projected xBA of .253 vs Bido's offerings.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Tigers vs Osvaldo Bido: The Detroit lineup averages .251 this season but projects to .253 vs Bido's arsenal. Key matchup shifts include:

  • Dillon Dingler: Season BA .271 → xBA vs arsenal .302 (+31 points), Season K% 22.8% → Arsenal K% 20.6% (-2.2%)
  • Jake Rogers: Season BA .182 → xBA vs arsenal .123 (-59 points), Season K% 27.6% → Arsenal K% 51.8% (+24.2%)

For Athletics vs Charlie Morton: The Athletics lineup averages .265 this season but projects to .244 vs Morton's arsenal. Key matchup shifts include:

  • Lawrence Butler: Season BA .228 → xBA vs arsenal .258 (+30 points), Season K% 28.8% → Arsenal K% 31.0% (+2.2%)
  • Jacob Wilson: Season BA .312 → xBA vs arsenal .215 (-97 points), Season K% 7.5% → Arsenal K% 27.1% (+19.6%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

  • The Tigers' projected K-rate is 24.8% vs Bido — up 1.6% from their 23.2% season average.
  • The Athletics' projected K-rate is 24.9% vs Morton — up 3.8% from their 21.1% season average.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Dillon Dingler (.271 → .302, +31 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No strikeout prop alerts meet our criteria in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Dillon Dingler shows a notable batting advantage against Bido's arsenal.
  • Jacob Wilson faces a tough matchup against Morton's diverse pitch mix.
  • No significant strikeout prop opportunities due to modest increases in projected K-rates.
  • With umpire assignments uncertain, bettors should be cautious of prop volatility.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Tigers vs Athletics game? A: Dillon Dingler stands out with a projected xBA of .302 against Bido's arsenal.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, adding uncertainty to the matchup.

Q: What time is the Tigers vs Athletics game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/26 at 10:05PM.

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