Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Rockies vs Astros: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 26)
Last updated: August 26, 2025
Game Time: 8/26, 08:10PM
Game Preview
The Colorado Rockies travel to Houston to face the Astros in a matchup heavily favoring the home team. With DraftKings listing the Astros as a -341 favorite and the Rockies as a +265 underdog, it's clear that 83% of the money is backing Houston. The key angles to watch in this game include the pitching performance of Tanner Gordon and Hunter Brown, as well as the matchup advantages in both lineups.
Pitching Preview
Pitching Matchup: Tanner Gordon vs Hunter Brown
Tanner Gordon (COL):
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage, 91.3 mph)
- Sweeper (31% usage, 80.7 mph)
- Curveball (12% usage, 76.5 mph)
- Sinker (10% usage, 91.6 mph)
- Changeup (6% usage, 84.4 mph)
Tanner Gordon is a pitch-mix artist who relies heavily on his Four-Seam Fastball and Sweeper. The Houston lineup, however, averages .249 this season with a projected xBA of .248 against Gordon's arsenal, indicating a potential challenge for the Rockies' pitcher.
Hunter Brown (HOU):
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage, 96.8 mph)
- Sinker (20% usage, 95.8 mph)
- Curveball (17% usage, 83.6 mph)
- Changeup (13% usage, 88.3 mph)
- Cutter (6% usage, 92.8 mph)
- Slider (4% usage, 90.6 mph)
Hunter Brown brings a velocity-heavy approach with his fastballs clocking in the mid-90s. The Rockies' lineup averages .276 this season but projects to .258 against Brown's power arsenal, suggesting he may have the upper hand on the mound.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Rockies vs Hunter Brown:
- The Rockies lineup averages .276 this season but projects to .258 vs Brown's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Mickey Moniak: Season BA .256 → xBA vs arsenal .290 (+34 points), Season K% 24.2% → Arsenal K% 20.2% (-4.0%)
- Biggest Decrease: Orlando Arcia: Season BA .298 → xBA vs arsenal .170 (-128 points), Season K% 13.3% → Arsenal K% 32.2% (+18.9%)
For Astros vs Tanner Gordon:
- The Astros lineup averages .249 this season but projects to .248 vs Gordon's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Jeremy Peña: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .311 (+61 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 15.0% (-7.5%)
- Biggest Decrease: Christian Walker: Season BA .237 → xBA vs arsenal .212 (-25 points), Season K% 26.6% → Arsenal K% 32.3% (+5.7%)
Contact vs Strikeout Profile
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Rockies' projected K-rate is 21.7% vs Hunter Brown — down 0.1% from their 21.8% season average.
- The Astros' projected K-rate is 22.7% vs Tanner Gordon — up 1.0% from their 21.7% season average.
Plate Umpire Analysis
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
- 📢 Prop Alert: Jeremy Peña (.250 → .311, +61 points) meets betting lean criteria!
- ⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Jeremy Peña shows a significant batting advantage against Gordon's arsenal.
- No significant pitcher prop opportunities arise from the current strikeout rates.
- Umpire assignment is unknown, adding volatility to prop bets.
- Overall, look for batter prop opportunities rather than strikeout props in this matchup.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Rockies vs Astros game? A: Jeremy Peña is the standout betting prop with a projected xBA of .311 against Tanner Gordon's arsenal.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making prop volatility a concern.
Q: What time is the Rockies vs Astros game? A: The game is at 8/26, 08:10PM.
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