August 23, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

Reds vs Diamondbacks: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 23)

Last updated: August 23, 2025

Game Time: 8/23, 08:10PM

Matchup Setup

The Cincinnati Reds head to Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks in a matchup that sees the Reds as the -132 favorites according to DraftKings, with a hefty 81% of the money backing them. The Diamondbacks are the +108 underdogs in what promises to be an intriguing game featuring a clash of pitching styles and offensive strategies.

Starting Pitching Analysis

Pitching Matchup: Andrew Abbott vs Nabil Crismatt

Andrew Abbott (CIN):

Pitch Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage, 92.6 mph), Changeup (20% usage, 84.6 mph), Curveball (16% usage, 80.9 mph), Sweeper (12% usage, 82.7 mph), Cutter (5% usage, 88.6 mph)

Andrew Abbott is a velocity-heavy pitcher who relies heavily on his fastball, complemented by a diverse mix of secondary pitches. The Arizona lineup averages .251 this season, with a slight projected xBA of .251 vs Abbott's arsenal, indicating a neutral matchup.

Nabil Crismatt (AZ):

Pitch Arsenal: Mixed arsenal

Crismatt brings a mixed arsenal to the mound, which could pose challenges for the Reds. However, the Reds lineup averages .250 this season and projects to the same .250 xBA against Crismatt’s offerings, suggesting a balanced confrontation.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For the Reds vs. Nabil Crismatt:

The Reds lineup averages .250 this season, projecting to maintain that average against Crismatt's mixed arsenal.

For the Diamondbacks vs. Andrew Abbott:

The Diamondbacks lineup averages .251 this season but projects to .251 vs Abbott's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Corbin Carroll: Season BA .253 → xBA vs arsenal .282 (+29 points), Season K% 24.2% → Arsenal K% 26.9% (+2.7%)
Biggest Decrease: Alek Thomas: Season BA .252 → xBA vs arsenal .198 (-54 points), Season K% 25.6% → Arsenal K% 28.9% (+3.3%)

K-Risk Analysis

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Reds' projected K-rate is 22.5% vs Crismatt — unchanged from their 22.5% season average, indicating no significant strikeout prop value.
The Diamondbacks' projected K-rate is 21.3% vs Abbott — up 0.4% from their 20.9% season average, suggesting a slight increase but not enough for a strong K prop lean.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities.

📢 Prop Alert: Corbin Carroll (.253 → .282, +29 points) meets betting lean criteria!

Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props.

No significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Corbin Carroll shows a significant advantage against Abbott's arsenal, making him a standout prop candidate.
The Reds and Diamondbacks both project similar offensive outputs against the opposing starting pitchers.
Umpire assignment is still undetermined, adding uncertainty to potential prop bets.
Overall, the matchup suggests limited clear-cut betting opportunities outside of standout individual performances.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs Diamondbacks game? A: Corbin Carroll shows significant statistical advantages and is the top prop candidate today.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making this a variable to watch.

Q: What time is the Reds vs Diamondbacks game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/23, 08:10PM.

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