August 27, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

Nationals vs Yankees: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 27)

Last updated: August 27, 2025

Game Time: 8/27, 01:05PM

Matchup Setup

The Washington Nationals face off against the New York Yankees, with the game tipping off at 1:05 PM. DraftKings lists the Yankees as significant favorites at -274, while the Nationals come in as +217 underdogs. With 92% of the money backing the Yankees, this matchup is set to be an exciting one for bettors.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Cade Cavalli vs Max Fried

Cade Cavalli (WSH):

Cade Cavalli brings a diverse arsenal to the mound, featuring a Curveball (35% usage, 86.0 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage, 97.4 mph), Sinker (21% usage, 97.1 mph), Changeup (13% usage, 89.8 mph), Cutter (2% usage, 94.7 mph), and Slider (0% usage, 91.8 mph). This mix marks him as a velocity-heavy pitcher with a strong reliance on his breaking ball. The Yankees lineup averages .253 this season with a projected xBA of .227 against Cavalli's offerings.

Max Fried (NYY):

Max Fried counters with his own arsenal: Cutter (30% usage, 93.6 mph), Curveball (18% usage, 75.3 mph), Sinker (17% usage, 94.0 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage, 95.6 mph), Sweeper (11% usage, 81.3 mph), Changeup (10% usage, 84.7 mph), and Slider (2% usage, 85.0 mph). Fried's mix of speed and movement classifies him as a pitch-mix artist. The Nationals' lineup averages .234 this season with a projected xBA of .241 against Fried's arsenal.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For the Nationals vs Max Fried:

The Nationals lineup averages .234 this season but projects to .241 against Fried's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Riley Adams: Season BA .210 → xBA vs Fried .241 (+31 points), Season K% 37.9% → Arsenal K% 35.6% (-2.3%)
Biggest Decrease: Andrés Chaparro: Season BA .250 → xBA vs Fried .138 (-112 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 15.2% (-7.3%)

For the Yankees vs Cade Cavalli:

The Yankees lineup averages .257 this season but projects to .253 against Cavalli's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Austin Wells: Season BA .205 → xBA vs Cavalli .251 (+46 points), Season K% 24.9% → Arsenal K% 19.5% (-5.4%)
Biggest Decrease: Ben Rice: Season BA .285 → xBA vs Cavalli .216 (-69 points), Season K% 21.9% → Arsenal K% 38.2% (+16.3%)

K-Risk Analysis

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Nationals' projected K-rate is 25.3% vs Fried — down 1.5% from their 26.8% season average. This suggests a potential contact play for Nationals hitters.
The Yankees' projected K-rate is 27.1% vs Cavalli — up 2.6% from their 24.5% season average, indicating a slight increase in strikeout potential.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: TBA Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Riley Adams (.210 → .241, +31 points) meets betting lean criteria!

📢 Prop Alert: Austin Wells (.205 → .251, +46 points) meets betting lean criteria!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Riley Adams and Austin Wells show strong potential for exceeding their season averages against today's arsenals.
There's a slight uptick in strikeout potential for the Yankees against Cavalli.
Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop bets.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Nationals vs Yankees game? A: Riley Adams and Austin Wells both meet our strict betting criteria with significant xBA increases.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess tendencies.

Q: What time is the Nationals vs Yankees game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/27, 01:05PM.

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