Written by: David Mitchell
David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.
Mets vs Braves: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 22)
Last updated: August 22, 2025Game Time: 8/22, 07:15PM
Game Preview
The New York Mets travel to Atlanta to face the Braves in what promises to be an intriguing matchup, particularly in terms of pitching and lineup dynamics. While betting odds are not available for this game, the focus on the mound will be a significant decider as Nolan McLean takes the mound for the Mets against Joey Wentz for the Braves.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Nolan McLean vs Joey Wentz
Nolan McLean (NYM):
- Arsenal: Mixed arsenal
Nolan McLean's pitch repertoire is diverse, but specific pitch usage and velocities are not available in the data provided. The Atlanta Braves lineup, however, hits a season average of .250, and projects to maintain this average against McLean's mixed arsenal.
Joey Wentz (ATL):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam (46% usage, 93.6 mph); Cutter (36% usage, 86.1 mph); Curveball (17% usage, 79.8 mph); Changeup (1% usage, 86.3 mph)
Joey Wentz presents a balanced pitch mix with a heavy reliance on his four-seam fastball and cutter. The Mets lineup averages .248 this season, projecting a modest improvement to .272 against Wentz's arsenal.
Lineup Advantage vs Arsenal
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Mets vs Joey Wentz: The Mets lineup averages .248 this season but projects to .272 against Joey Wentz's arsenal. Key performance shifts include:
- Biggest Increase: Juan Soto: Season BA .247 → xBA vs arsenal .347 (+100 points), Season K% 19.9% → Arsenal K% 15.7% (-4.2%)
- Biggest Decrease: Francisco Lindor: Season BA .262 → xBA vs arsenal .243 (-19 points), Season K% 19.0% → Arsenal K% 23.2% (+4.2%)
For Braves vs Nolan McLean:
- No key performers identified due to lack of specific player data.
Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
For Mets: The Mets' projected K-rate is 19.2% vs Joey Wentz — down 1.9% from their 21.1% season average, indicating potential for more contact against Wentz's arsenal.
For Braves: Data not available for Braves' specific K-rate changes against McLean's arsenal.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Juan Soto (.247 → .347, +100 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant strikeout prop opportunities meet our betting threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Juan Soto offers a strong batting prop opportunity with significant improvement against Joey Wentz's arsenal.
- Pitching Props: No definitive edge for strikeout props due to lack of significant K-rate increases.
- Umpire Impact: Unknown umpire assignment adds an element of unpredictability to prop bets.
- Betting Recommendation: Focus on Soto's batting prop for potential value.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Mets vs Braves game? A: Juan Soto meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .347 against Joey Wentz.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, adding volatility to prop expectations.
Q: What time is the Mets vs Braves game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/22, 07:15PM.
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