August 22, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

Giants vs Brewers: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 22)

Last updated: August 22, 2025

Game Time: 8/22, 08:10PM

Brief Intro

The San Francisco Giants travel to Milwaukee to face the Brewers in an intriguing National League matchup. The Brewers enter the game as favorites with a -180 line, while the Giants are listed at +147 underdogs according to DraftKings, with a significant 96% of the money backing the Brewers. This high-stakes game features fascinating pitching dynamics and key lineup edges that could impact the outcome.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Carson Whisenhunt vs Jose Quintana

Carson Whisenhunt (SF):

Sinker (47% usage, 92.5 mph); Changeup (38% usage, 81.4 mph); Slider (14% usage, 83.4 mph)

Carson Whisenhunt is a velocity-heavy pitcher relying predominantly on his sinker and changeup to keep hitters off balance. His pitch mix suggests a groundball-inducing strategy. The Brewers lineup, however, averages .259 this season with a projected xBA of .254 against Whisenhunt's offerings, indicating a slight edge for Milwaukee's batters.

Jose Quintana (MIL):

Sinker (44% usage, 90.4 mph); Changeup (22% usage, 85.6 mph); Curveball (15% usage, 78.1 mph); Four-Seam (12% usage, 90.3 mph); Slurve (8% usage, 78.3 mph)

Jose Quintana is a pitch-mix artist with a broad arsenal, making him difficult to predict. The Giants lineup averages .238 this season but projects to a higher .255 against Quintana's diverse pitch set, suggesting potential trouble for the Brewers' ace in this matchup.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For SF vs Jose Quintana: The Giants lineup averages .238 this season but projects to .255 against Quintana's arsenal. Key performers include:

Casey Schmitt: Season BA .248 → xBA vs arsenal .300 (+52 points), Season K% 23.1% → Arsenal K% 18.8% (-4.3%)
Heliot Ramos: Season BA .263 → xBA vs arsenal .242 (-21 points), Season K% 23.5% → Arsenal K% 22.1% (-1.4%)

For MIL vs Carson Whisenhunt: The Brewers lineup averages .259 this season and projects to .254 against Whisenhunt's pitches. Key performers include:

Isaac Collins: Season BA .277 → xBA vs arsenal .302 (+25 points), Season K% 22.1% → Arsenal K% 12.2% (-9.9%)
Sal Frelick: Season BA .300 → xBA vs arsenal .275 (-25 points), Season K% 13.0% → Arsenal K% 14.8% (+1.8%)

Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

For SF: The Giants' projected K-rate is 19.9% vs Jose Quintana — down 2.4% from their 22.2% season average, indicating potential contact play.

For MIL: The Brewers' projected K-rate is 16.3% vs Carson Whisenhunt — down 2.5% from their 18.8% season average, suggesting a strong contact approach.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Casey Schmitt (.248 → .300, +52 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant deviations in strikeout rates meet our betting threshold for this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Casey Schmitt shows a significant batting advantage against Quintana, making him a prop candidate.
Both teams show reduced strikeout rates against opposing pitchers, suggesting a contact-heavy game.
Umpire data is unavailable, increasing the unpredictability of prop bets.
Overall, the game leans slightly towards batting proficiency over pitching dominance.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the SF vs MIL game? A: Casey Schmitt meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .300 against Quintana.

Q: Is [Umpire Name] a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, so tendencies are unclear.

Q: What time is the SF vs MIL game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/22 at 08:10PM.

---

Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!

See all our best bets daily!

---