Written by: Michael Rivera
Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.
Dodgers vs Rockies: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 21)
Last updated: August 21, 2025Game Time: 8/21, 03:10PM
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers, marked as a −267 favorite, face off against the Colorado Rockies, a +212 underdog, with 70% of the money backing the Dodgers. The Dodgers are looking to capitalize on their strong pitching and balanced lineup against a Rockies team that struggles against left-handed pitching.
Mound Matchup
Pitching Matchup: Clayton Kershaw vs Chase Dollander
Clayton Kershaw (LAD):
Slider (41% usage, 85.7 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage, 89.0 mph), Curveball (18% usage, 72.3 mph), Splitter (5% usage, 83.3 mph)Kershaw, known for his craftiness and pitch-mix artistry, presents a challenging array of pitches that keep hitters off balance. The Rockies lineup, which averages .264 on the season, is projected to hit .244 against Kershaw's varied arsenal, highlighting a potential struggle to make consistent contact.
Chase Dollander (COL):
Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage, 97.8 mph), Curveball (23% usage, 79.0 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 89.5 mph), Changeup (9% usage, 89.1 mph), Sinker (8% usage, 97.0 mph)Dollander is a velocity-heavy pitcher who relies on overpowering hitters with his dominant fastball. However, the Dodgers lineup, averaging .242 this season, projects a slightly lower .241 against Dollander’s pitches, indicating the potential for a strong performance from the Dodgers' bats.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Dodgers vs Chase Dollander: The Dodgers lineup average is .242 this season but projects to .241 vs Dollander's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Mookie Betts: Season BA .243 → xBA vs arsenal .275 (+32 points), Season K% 10.7% → Arsenal K% 10.7% (+0.0%)
- Biggest Decrease: Freddie Freeman: Season BA .302 → xBA vs arsenal .260 (-42 points), Season K% 22.1% → Arsenal K% 11.6% (-10.5%)
For Rockies vs Clayton Kershaw: The Rockies average .264 on the season but project to .245 vs Kershaw’s arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Warming Bernabel: Season BA .311 → xBA vs arsenal .365 (+54 points), Season K% 11.7% → Arsenal K% 11.0% (-0.7%)
- Biggest Decrease: Jordan Beck: Season BA .276 → xBA vs arsenal .221 (-55 points), Season K% 27.9% → Arsenal K% 33.5% (+5.6%)
Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 23.7% vs Dollander — up 0.8% from their 22.9% season average.
- The Rockies' projected K-rate is 25.8% vs Kershaw — up 1.6% from their 24.2% season average.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Mookie Betts (.243 → .275, +32 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Clayton Kershaw strikeout OVER - Rockies' K-rate jumps to 25.8% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Mookie Betts shows a significant batting edge against Dollander’s arsenal, making him a top prop bet candidate.
- Clayton Kershaw's strikeout potential is heightened against a Rockies lineup struggling against lefties.
- Umpire assignment is not announced, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
- Overall, the betting recommendation leans towards pitcher dominance, particularly favoring Kershaw's strikeout prop.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Dodgers vs Rockies game? A: Mookie Betts meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA increase of 32 points.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making current impact assessments unavailable.
Q: What time is the Dodgers vs Rockies game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/21, 03:10PM.
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