August 24, 2025
Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.


Dodgers vs Padres: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 24)

Last updated: August 24, 2025

Game Time: 8/24, 04:10PM

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Dodgers face off against the San Diego Padres in what promises to be a captivating showdown. With both teams showcasing a mix of seasoned veterans and rising stars, the game is poised to offer intriguing pitcher-batter matchups. Betting odds are currently not available for this game, adding an extra layer of mystery to this encounter.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) vs Nick Pivetta (SD)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD):

Four-Seam (37% usage, 95.2 mph); Splitter (25% usage, 90.7 mph); Curveball (17% usage, 76.6 mph); Cutter (11% usage, 91.0 mph); Sinker (7% usage, 94.5 mph); Slider (3% usage, 86.0 mph)

Yamamoto is a well-rounded pitcher with a diverse arsenal, making him a pitch-mix artist. The San Diego lineup averages .272 this season with a projected xBA of .268 against Yamamoto's varied setup.

Nick Pivetta (SD):

Four-Seam (48% usage, 93.8 mph); Curveball (22% usage, 79.0 mph); Sweeper (17% usage, 81.7 mph); Cutter (8% usage, 89.9 mph); Sinker (4% usage, 93.9 mph); Slider (1% usage, 83.3 mph); Splitter (0% usage, 87.3 mph)

Pivetta relies heavily on his four-seam fastball, making him a velocity-heavy pitcher. The Dodgers lineup averages .259 this season with a projected xBA of .258 against Pivetta’s heat-centric offerings.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Dodgers vs Nick Pivetta:

  • The Dodgers lineup averages .259 this season but projects to .258 vs Pivetta's arsenal.
  • Biggest Increase in xBA: Alex Freeland: Season BA .241 → xBA vs arsenal .264 (+23 points), Season K% 28.6% → Arsenal K% 24.9% (-3.7%)
  • Biggest Decrease in xBA: Will Smith: Season BA .297 → xBA vs arsenal .243 (-54 points), Season K% 20.3% → Arsenal K% 24.8% (+4.5%)

For Padres vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto:

  • The Padres lineup averages .273 this season but projects to .268 vs Yamamoto's arsenal.
  • Biggest Increase in xBA: Ryan O’Hearn: Season BA .282 → xBA vs arsenal .309 (+27 points), Season K% 18.7% → Arsenal K% 14.8% (-3.9%)
  • Biggest Decrease in xBA: Manny Machado: Season BA .292 → xBA vs arsenal .248 (-44 points), Season K% 17.3% → Arsenal K% 24.1% (+6.8%)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards
  • The Dodgers’ projected K-rate is 22.8% vs Nick Pivetta — up 1.9% from their 20.9% season average.
  • The Padres’ projected K-rate is 18.6% vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto — up 1.4% from their 17.2% season average.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Ryan O'Hearn (.282 → .309, +27 points) meets betting lean criteria!

K Prop Alert: Nick Pivetta strikeout OVER - Dodgers' K-rate jumps to 22.8% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Ryan O'Hearn is a standout batter with a significant increase against Yamamoto, making him a strong prop candidate.
  • Nick Pivetta could capitalize on an increased strikeout rate against the Dodgers, suggesting a potential K prop opportunity.
  • Umpire data is not available, leading to increased volatility in prop betting.
  • Overall, focus on O'Hearn's batting props and Pivetta's strikeout potential for the game.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Dodgers vs Padres game? A: Ryan O'Hearn (.282 → .309, +27 points) meets our strict betting criteria.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, introducing volatility.

Q: What time is the Dodgers vs Padres game? A: 8/24, 04:10PM

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