August 26, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 26)

Last updated: August 26, 2025

Game Time: 8/26, 07:40PM

Brief Intro

The Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in what promises to be a captivating matchup. The Brewers are currently favored at -157, with the Diamondbacks as +128 underdogs, according to DraftKings. Interestingly, 90% of the betting money is leaning towards the Brewers.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Brandon Pfaadt vs Jacob Misiorowski

Brandon Pfaadt (AZ):

Brandon Pfaadt brings a varied arsenal to the mound with a mix of:

Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage, 93.6 mph)
Sinker (23% usage, 93.1 mph)
Sweeper (20% usage, 84.8 mph)
Changeup (16% usage, 87.4 mph)
Curveball (9% usage, 82.3 mph)
Cutter (7% usage, 89.7 mph)

Pfaadt is a pitch-mix artist, utilizing a diverse set of pitches to keep hitters off balance. The Brewers' lineup, however, averages .262 this season but projects to a .244 xBA against Pfaadt's arsenal.

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL):

Jacob Misiorowski is known for his velocity-heavy style with:

Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage, 99.3 mph)
Slider (26% usage, 94.2 mph)
Curveball (12% usage, 87.2 mph)
Changeup (7% usage, 92.0 mph)

The Diamondbacks lineup averages .258 this season and projects to .249 against Misiorowski's hard-throwing setup.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Arizona Diamondbacks vs Jacob Misiorowski:

The lineup averages .258 but projects to .249 vs Misiorowski's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: James McCann: Season BA .237 → xBA vs arsenal .279 (+42 points), Season K% 22.8% → Arsenal K% 21.6% (-1.2%)
Biggest Decrease: Pavin Smith: Season BA .294 → xBA vs arsenal .239 (-55 points), Season K% 20.6% → Arsenal K% 25.5% (+4.9%)

For Milwaukee Brewers vs Brandon Pfaadt:

The lineup averages .262 but projects to .244 vs Pfaadt's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .236 → xBA vs arsenal .268 (+32 points), Season K% 18.0% → Arsenal K% 18.8% (+0.8%)
Biggest Decrease: Andruw Monasterio: Season BA .272 → xBA vs arsenal .212 (-60 points), Season K% 21.8% → Arsenal K% 20.4% (-1.4%)

Strikeout Trends

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Diamondbacks' projected K-rate is 23.0% vs Misiorowski — up 0.6% from their 22.4% season average.
The Brewers' projected K-rate is 20.7% vs Pfaadt — up 0.3% from their 20.4% season average.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: TBA

Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: James McCann (.237 → .279, +42 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No significant team strikeout rate increases meet our strict betting threshold in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

James McCann shows strong potential for a batting prop with a notable increase in projected xBA.
Pavin Smith and Andruw Monasterio face challenging matchups with significant decreases in xBA.
No clear strikeout prop opportunities based on current data.
Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop evaluations.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Diamondbacks vs Brewers game? A: James McCann stands out as a solid betting prop based on his projected xBA increase.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess tendencies.

Q: What time is the Diamondbacks vs Brewers game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/26, 07:40PM.

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