August 26, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Ryan Chen

Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.

Braves vs Marlins: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 26)

Last updated: August 26, 2025

Game Time: 8/26, 06:40PM

Brief Intro

The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the Miami Marlins, with the Braves entering as the -126 favorites according to DraftKings. With 56% of the betting money backing Atlanta, the Marlins are slight +104 underdogs at home in this closely watched matchup.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Hurston Waldrep vs Sandy Alcantara

Hurston Waldrep (ATL):

Hurston Waldrep brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Splitter (31% usage, 86.7 mph), Cutter (24% usage, 93.7 mph), Curveball (16% usage, 82.1 mph), Sinker (14% usage, 95.7 mph), Slider (13% usage, 87.4 mph), and a Four-Seam Fastball (2% usage, 95.7 mph). Waldrep is a pitch-mix artist, relying heavily on off-speed pitches to disrupt hitters' timing. The Marlins lineup averages .273 this season with a projected xBA of .273 against Waldrep's varied arsenal.

Sandy Alcantara (MIA):

Sandy Alcantara, the Marlins' ace, features a powerful mix: Sinker (23% usage, 97.2 mph), Changeup (22% usage, 90.5 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage, 97.5 mph), Curveball (17% usage, 85.4 mph), Slider (16% usage, 89.3 mph). Alcantara is a velocity-heavy pitcher with an aggressive approach. The Braves lineup, however, averages .248 this season but projects to a .245 xBA against Alcantara's high-velocity offerings.

Batting Edges vs Arsenal

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Braves vs Alcantara:

The Braves lineup averages .248 this season but projects to .245 against Alcantara's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: II Harris: Season BA .252 → xBA vs arsenal .288 (+36 points), Season K% 19.7% → Arsenal K% 18.5% (-1.2%)
Biggest Decrease: Matt Olson: Season BA .264 → xBA vs arsenal .244 (-20 points), Season K% 24.5% → Arsenal K% 27.9% (+3.4%)

For Marlins vs Waldrep:

The Marlins lineup averages .272 this season and projects to .273 against Waldrep's pitches.
Biggest Increase: Troy Johnston: Season BA .271 → xBA vs arsenal .395 (+124 points), Season K% 24.0% → Arsenal K% 16.4% (-7.6%)
Biggest Decrease: Xavier Edwards: Season BA .291 → xBA vs arsenal .245 (-46 points), Season K% 14.1% → Arsenal K% 18.5% (+4.4%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Braves' projected K-rate is 22.23% vs Alcantara — up 1.62% from their 20.61% season average, indicating a possible increase in strikeouts.
The Marlins' projected K-rate is 18.04% vs Waldrep — up 0.66% from their 17.38% season average, suggesting a slight increase in strikeouts.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: II Harris (.252 → .288, +36 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Sandy Alcantara strikeout OVER - Braves' K-rate jumps to 22.23% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

II Harris presents a significant batting advantage against Alcantara, exceeding our betting lean criteria.
Sandy Alcantara's strikeout rate against the Braves suggests potential value on an OVER strikeout prop.
The absence of announced umpire details increases prop volatility and calls for cautious betting.
Overall, key player matchups and pitching styles offer intriguing betting opportunities in this Braves vs Marlins clash.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Braves vs Marlins game? A: II Harris stands out with a .288 xBA against Alcantara, exceeding our betting lean criteria.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, adding uncertainty to strikeout and walk prop expectations.

Q: What time is the Braves vs Marlins game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/26 at 06:40PM.

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