August 24, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

ATH vs Mariners: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 24)

Last updated: August 24, 2025

Game Time: 8/24, 04:10PM

Brief Intro

The Athletics visit the Mariners with Seattle entering as the -176 favorite, according to DraftKings, while the Athletics are at +144. A staggering 78% of the money is backing the Mariners, reflecting confidence in their home-field advantage and pitching dominance.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Jacob Lopez vs Logan Gilbert

Jacob Lopez (ATH):

Jacob Lopez brings a diverse pitch mix to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage, 90.8 mph), Slider (30% usage, 78.2 mph), Cutter (14% usage, 87.7 mph), Changeup (14% usage, 82.7 mph), and a Sinker (4% usage, 90.2 mph). Lopez is a pitch-mix artist, relying on movement and deception rather than pure velocity. The Mariners lineup, however, bats .230 this season but only projects a .231 xBA vs Lopez's arsenal, indicating a potential edge for the pitcher.

Logan Gilbert (SEA):

Logan Gilbert counters with his own impressive arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage, 95.4 mph), Slider (35% usage, 87.4 mph), Splitter (19% usage, 82.2 mph), Curveball (8% usage, 82.2 mph), and a Sinker (2% usage, 95.6 mph). Gilbert's approach leans on power and precision. The Athletics lineup averages .264 this season but projects a lower .231 xBA against Gilbert's mix, suggesting a challenging day for the A's hitters.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For ATH vs Logan Gilbert: The Athletics lineup averages .264 this season but projects to .231 vs Gilbert's arsenal. Notably:

Lawrence Butler: Season BA .227 → xBA vs arsenal .250 (+23 points), Season K% 28.8% → Arsenal K% 31.3% (+2.5%)

For SEA vs Jacob Lopez: The Mariners lineup, which averages .248, projects a .231 xBA against Lopez. Key changes include:

J.P. Crawford: Season BA .263 → xBA vs arsenal .290 (+27 points), Season K% 18.9% → Arsenal K% 19.0% (+0.1%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Athletics' projected K-rate is 25.3% vs Gilbert — up 4.9% from their 20.3% season average, suggesting potential value in strikeout props.
The Mariners' projected K-rate is 23.5% vs Lopez — up 2.1% from their 21.5% season average, indicating moderate strikeout potential.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: J.P. Crawford (.263 → .290, +27 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Logan Gilbert strikeout OVER - Athletics' K-rate jumps to 25.3% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Lawrence Butler shows a notable batting advantage against Gilbert, offering prop potential.
J.P. Crawford's matchup against Lopez suggests a strong batting performance.
Logan Gilbert presents a solid strikeout prop opportunity against the Athletics.
Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop bets.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the ATH vs SEA game? A: J.P. Crawford meets our strict betting criteria with a significant boost in projected xBA.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, so tendencies are currently unknown.

Q: What time is the ATH vs SEA game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/24, 04:10PM.

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