August 29, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

Yankees vs Sox: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 29)

Last updated: August 29, 2025

Game Time: 8/29, 07:40PM

Today's Setup

Tonight's matchup features the New York Yankees taking on the Chicago White Sox. The Yankees are favored heavily with DraftKings listing them at -223, while the White Sox come in as +180 underdogs, with an overwhelming 95% of the money backing New York.

Starting Pitching Analysis

Pitching Matchup: Carlos Rodón (NYY) vs Yoendrys Gómez (CWS)

Carlos Rodón (NYY):

Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage, 94.2 mph), Slider (30% usage, 85.8 mph), Changeup (15% usage, 85.1 mph), Sinker (10% usage, 92.1 mph), Curveball (4% usage, 80.3 mph)
Interpretation: Rodón is a velocity-heavy pitcher who relies significantly on his Four-Seam Fastball and Slider to keep hitters off balance.
Matchup Insight: The White Sox lineup averages .259 this season with a projected xBA of .250 against Rodón's pitch mix.

Yoendrys Gómez (CWS):

Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage, 93.6 mph), Sweeper (21% usage, 81.9 mph), Curveball (16% usage, 80.2 mph), Sinker (11% usage, 93.3 mph), Cutter (7% usage, 89.9 mph), Changeup (6% usage, 89.4 mph), Slider (2% usage, 86.9 mph)
Interpretation: Gómez presents a diverse pitch mix, aiming to outwit batters with a variety of offerings.
Matchup Insight: The Yankees lineup averages .266 this season but projects to .262 against Gómez's arsenal.

Hitting Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Yankees vs Yoendrys Gómez:

Trent Grisham: Season BA .248 → xBA vs arsenal .275 (+27 points), Season K% 21.1% → Arsenal K% 20.1% (-1.0%)
Ben Rice: Season BA .284 → xBA vs arsenal .255 (-29 points), Season K% 22.0% → Arsenal K% 33.4% (+11.4%)

For White Sox vs Carlos Rodón:

Edgar Quero: Season BA .286 → xBA vs arsenal .243 (-43 points), Season K% 16.7% → Arsenal K% 17.4% (+0.7%)
Brooks Baldwin: Season BA .276 → xBA vs arsenal .256 (-20 points), Season K% 16.0% → Arsenal K% 22.7% (+6.7%)

Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

Yankees: The projected K-rate is 25.1% vs Gómez — up 1.3% from their 23.8% season average.
White Sox: The projected K-rate is 20.3% vs Rodón — up 1.4% from their 19.0% season average.

Umpire Impact

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Trent Grisham (.248 → .275, +27 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: No pitcher strikeout props meet our criteria for this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Trent Grisham shows a strong advantage against Gómez, making him a viable prop candidate.
No significant strikeout prop opportunities exist based on current data.
Umpire assignment remains uncertain, adding volatility to potential prop bets.
The Yankees hold a slight statistical batting edge over the White Sox in this matchup.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Yankees vs White Sox game? A: Trent Grisham meets our strict betting criteria with a notable increase in expected batting average.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is currently TBA, making it difficult to assess tendencies.

Q: What time is the Yankees vs White Sox game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/29 at 07:40PM.

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