Written by: Michael Rivera
Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.
Yankees vs Sox: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 28)
Last updated: August 28, 2025Game Time: 8/28, 07:40PM
Game Preview
The New York Yankees are set to face off against the Chicago White Sox in what promises to be an exciting matchup. The Yankees are favored by a significant margin, with DraftKings listing them as a −200 favorite against the +162 underdog White Sox. With 90% of the money backing the Yankees, bettors clearly see them as the dominant force heading into this game.
Starting Pitching Analysis
Pitching Matchup: Will Warren vs Davis Martin
Will Warren (NYY):
Will Warren brings a diverse pitch arsenal to the mound, featuring: Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage, 93.2 mph), Sinker (22% usage, 93.1 mph), Sweeper (21% usage, 82.5 mph), Changeup (10% usage, 86.9 mph), and Curveball (7% usage, 79.8 mph). Warren’s style leans towards a velocity-heavy approach, with his fastballs forming the backbone of his game. The Chicago White Sox lineup averages .263 this season with a projected xBA of .255 against Warren's repertoire, suggesting a slight edge for the Yankees’ pitcher.
Davis Martin (CWS):
Davis Martin counters with his own mix: Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage, 92.6 mph), Cutter (21% usage, 89.0 mph), Changeup (20% usage, 78.5 mph), Sinker (17% usage, 92.5 mph), Curveball (11% usage, 79.7 mph), and Slider (11% usage, 84.9 mph). Martin’s pitch mix is balanced, offering a blend of speed and movement. The Yankees lineup averages .257 this season but projects to .263 against Martin's arsenal, indicating potential trouble for the White Sox pitcher.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Yankees vs Davis Martin:
- The Yankees lineup averages .257 this season but projects to .263 against Martin’s arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Anthony Volpe: Season BA .204 → xBA vs arsenal .248 (+44 points), Season K% 24.1% → Arsenal K% 23.4% (-0.7%)
- Biggest Decrease: Giancarlo Stanton: Season BA .313 → xBA vs arsenal .259 (-54 points), Season K% 30.6% → Arsenal K% 26.3% (-4.3%)
For White Sox vs Will Warren:
- The White Sox lineup averages .263 this season but projects a decline to .255 against Warren’s arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Edgar Quero: Season BA .286 → xBA vs arsenal .294 (+8 points), Season K% 16.7% → Arsenal K% 13.0% (-3.7%)
- Biggest Decrease: Miguel Vargas: Season BA .233 → xBA vs arsenal .196 (-37 points), Season K% 17.0% → Arsenal K% 22.1% (+5.1%)
Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Yankees' projected K-rate: 24.1% vs Davis Martin — down 0.5% from their 24.6% season average.
- White Sox's projected K-rate: 20.8% vs Will Warren — up 1.6% from their 19.2% season average.
Umpire Trends
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Anthony Volpe (.204 → .248, +44 points) meets betting lean criteria!
No significant strikeout prop alerts meet our betting threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Anthony Volpe shows a significant batting advantage against Davis Martin, making him a strong prop candidate.
- Giancarlo Stanton's performance is expected to drop against Martin's pitch mix.
- The Yankees' lineup projects a slight decrease in strikeouts, while the White Sox's strikeouts are expected to increase slightly against Warren.
- Umpire assignment is unknown, adding uncertainty to the betting landscape.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Yankees vs White Sox game? A: Anthony Volpe (.204 → .248, +44 points) meets our strict betting criteria as a top batter prop.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
Q: What time is the Yankees vs White Sox game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/28, 07:40PM.
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