August 29, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

Cubs vs Rockies: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 29)

Last updated: August 29, 2025

Game Time: 8/29, 08:40PM

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs head to Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies. With DraftKings listing the Cubs as a −238 favorite and 92% of the money backing them, this matchup leans heavily in Chicago's favor. The Rockies, sitting as +191 underdogs, look to upset a Cubs team driven by a strong pitching performance.

Rotation Report

Pitching Matchup: Cade Horton (CHC) vs Germán Márquez (COL)

Cade Horton (CHC):

Cade Horton brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage, 95.7 mph), Sweeper (21% usage, 83.6 mph), Changeup (13% usage, 87.8 mph), Curveball (10% usage, 83.9 mph), Sinker (5% usage, 94.9 mph), and Slider (0% usage, 83.4 mph). Horton is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying on his fastball to dominate. The Rockies lineup averages .267 this season but projects to .243 vs Horton's mix, indicating a challenging night for Colorado's bats.

Germán Márquez (COL):

Germán Márquez counters with his mix: Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage, 95.1 mph), Curveball (31% usage, 85.6 mph), Sinker (24% usage, 94.5 mph), Slider (11% usage, 88.9 mph), and Changeup (2% usage, 89.1 mph). Márquez's balanced pitch mix aims to keep hitters off-balance. The Cubs lineup averages .252 this season but projects to .255 against Márquez's offerings, suggesting a slight edge for Chicago's hitters.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Cubs vs Germán Márquez:

The Cubs lineup averages .252 this season but projects to .255 against Márquez.
Biggest Increase: Ian Happ: Season BA .227 → xBA vs arsenal .280 (+53 points), Season K% 22.2% → Arsenal K% 22.1% (-0.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Kyle Tucker: Season BA .263 → xBA vs arsenal .198 (-65 points), Season K% 14.8% → Arsenal K% 19.0% (+4.2%)

For Rockies vs Cade Horton:

The Rockies lineup averages .267 this season but projects to .243 against Horton's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Brenton Doyle: Season BA .244 → xBA vs arsenal .274 (+30 points), Season K% 24.4% → Arsenal K% 25.3% (+0.9%)
Biggest Decrease: Kyle Karros: Season BA .283 → xBA vs arsenal .131 (-152 points), Season K% 21.3% → Arsenal K% 42.3% (+21.0%)

Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Cubs' projected K-rate is 23.2% vs Márquez — up 3.0% from their 20.2% season average.
The Rockies' projected K-rate is 26.9% vs Horton — up 2.8% from their 24.0% season average.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Ian Happ (.227 → .280, +53 points) meets betting lean criteria!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Ian Happ stands out as a potential batting prop with a significant increase against Márquez.
Cade Horton's high velocity may cause trouble for Colorado's lineup, reflected in their drop to a .243 xBA.
Umpire assignment is TBA, adding a layer of uncertainty to betting on this game.
Overall, the Cubs have slight edges in both batting and pitching, making them favorites for a reason.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Cubs vs Rockies game? A: Ian Happ meets our strict betting criteria with a notable increase in xBA against Márquez.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, leaving this aspect unknown.

Q: What time is the Cubs vs Rockies game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/29 at 08:40PM.

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