Warriors Without Curry Face 10-Game Win Streak Spurs as 13.5-Point Underdogs

San Antonio is a 13.5-point favourite, and the number reflects one big fact: Stephen Curry is out. The Warriors guard has an oblique abdominal tear and will be re-evaluated in two weeks. Golden State is still 8-4 and ranks second in offensive rating at 118.8 points per 100 possessions, so the question is how much of that offence holds up without him against a Spurs team that has won 10 straight. The spread has not moved from 13.5 since it opened.

The season numbers put these teams closer together than that spread does. San Antonio's net rating is 10 points per 100 possessions, rank 3, and Golden State's is 9.3, rank 6. Golden State shoots an effective 56.6% from the field, rank 2, and takes 48.2% of its field-goal attempts from three, making 39.6%. San Antonio's shooting is more modest, with a 53.2% effective field-goal percentage, rank 17, but it protects the ball better: a 12.2% turnover rate against Golden State's 16.1%. Both teams have played only 12 games, so all of this is a small sample.

Curry is not the only Warriors absence. Brandon Williams is out with a hamstring injury and will miss at least one week, while Charles Bassey is probable with toe soreness. Yaxel Lendeborg and Brandin Podziemski carry Golden State's highest points lines, 21.5 and 15.5. For San Antonio, Victor Wembanyama has a 27.5 line after scoring 32 against Chicago on Wednesday and 40 in 25 minutes against Phoenix before that. De'Aaron Fox (hip soreness) and Devin Vassell (adductor tightness) are both questionable. Dylan Harper had 18 points, 10 assists and four steals in the Chicago win.

Recent meetings point in both directions. Golden State won both November 2025 games in San Antonio, 125-120 and 109-108. San Antonio won both 2026 games at Golden State, 126-113 and 127-113. That is older context for a game with a very different Warriors availability picture.

The market is quiet on price but lopsided on ticket counts. The total is 218.5, unchanged from the open, with 90% of bets and 98% of money on the over. San Antonio's games have gone over the closing total in 33.3% of games this season, against 58.3% for Golden State, which has gone over in four straight on the road. On the spread, the Spurs are 5-7 against the number despite a 10-2 record, while Golden State is 8-4 and has covered three straight on the road after a loss. San Antonio holds 56% of spread bets and 67% of spread money, with the moneyline at San Antonio -862 and Golden State +513.

The evidence conflicts. Curry's absence and San Antonio's winning streak favour the home side, but the Spurs' 5-7 spread record and Golden State's scoring efficiency argue that a margin this wide is demanding. The near-unanimous support for the over sits alongside a Spurs history of games staying under.