By Jake Turner • Updated August 20, 2025 at 04:22 PM UTC

The betting market prices T. Henderson differently than ESPN. Here's why our sportsbook-derived analysis reveals edges traditional rankings miss.

Market vs. Media Rankings

Our sportsbook-projected fantasy tiers provide superior draft guidance.

Our analysis places T. Henderson at #65 overall and #23 at RB, compared to ESPN's ranking of #—.

Both market and ESPN align, but our market-driven analysis reveals deeper context ESPN misses.

Championship Weeks Assessment

Playoff SOS score: 71 (Good tier)

Championship-week scheduling makes T. Henderson advantageous for playoff builds during weeks 15-17.

Fantasy Production Outlook

Our betting market insights position T. Henderson with a projected fantasy score of 176.16 points. This projection accounts for market efficiency patterns that traditional methods miss.

Market Intelligence

The betting market's precision in pricing player outcomes makes our sportsbook-implied outlook significantly more reliable than conventional analysis.

Health & Availability Profile

Projected games missed: 1.19

Market-implied values incorporate injury-adjusted distributions for realistic availability expectations.

Market-Based Draft Strategy

Draft positioning for T. Henderson: Round 3+ value territory.

Build considerations: Excellent depth with upside potential.

Market Comparables (±10 ranks)

• O. Hampton (#62) — Playoff SOS +19.0, Proj points -2.8
• A. Jones Sr. (#68) — Playoff SOS +11.0, Proj points +7.8
• T. Pollard (#61) — Playoff SOS +18.0, Proj points -3.3

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I draft T. Henderson in the first round?

Based on Vegas-derived projections, T. Henderson provides solid value at #65 overall with 176.16 projected points.

How reliable are Vegas-based fantasy rankings?

Market efficiency in pricing player outcomes makes Vegas-derived projections more responsive to changing conditions than expert consensus rankings.

How We Build These Projections

Our market-based approach translates sportsbook player props into fantasy distributions, then ranks by median and ceiling outcomes. Rankings update continuously as lines move.

Data Sources: Aggregated lines from major U.S. sportsbooks including DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, plus five-year historical databases.

About the Author

Jake Turner has been analyzing fantasy football using quantitative methods for over 8 years. His market-based approach has consistently outperformed consensus rankings, with a documented 73% accuracy rate in identifying top-12 weekly performers. Jake combines sports betting market efficiency with fantasy football strategy, translating Vegas insights into actionable draft advice.

Lines last updated: August 20, 2025 at 04:22 PM UTC | Refresh frequency: Daily during season