Edmonton's Top-Ranked Scoring Meets New York's Second-Ranked Penalty Kill

Edmonton is the better team by record and the home favourite, so the central question is whether New York's defensive profile can contain the league's top-ranked scoring side. The Oilers won 4-1 at New York on 2026-11-01. The Rangers arrive on a three-game winning streak, the latest a 4-3 road win over Seattle, while Edmonton is 12-3-3 and beat Vancouver 4-2 on Saturday.

Special teams show the sharpest contrast. Edmonton scores 4.17 goals per game, rank 1, and converts 33.9% of its power plays, rank 3. New York kills penalties at 89.1%, rank 2. Edmonton's own penalty kill is 75%, rank 19, against a Rangers power play at 20.8%, rank 17, so that exchange tilts toward New York. On shot share the teams look close: 49.7% for Edmonton, rank 15, and 49.1% for New York, rank 17.

The Rangers allow 2.89 goals per game, rank 6, and their team save percentage is 90.3%, rank 6. The recent stretch is less tidy, with 3.8 goals allowed per game over the last 10. Edmonton shoots 15.9% on 25.8 shots on goal per game, a finishing rate that carries much of its scoring, while its save percentage is 89.2%, rank 14. Edmonton's last 10 games have produced 3.8 goals per game, below its season figure. Both teams have played 18 games, so these rates can still shift.

Igor Shesterkin is out for the season with a knee injury, and Sean Durzi is on injured reserve, with Alberts Smits day-to-day. For Edmonton, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is day-to-day after taking a puck to the head Saturday, and Colton Dach is also day-to-day.

Edmonton is -152 on the moneyline and New York +128, essentially unchanged from the open of -154 and +129. 92% of bets and 98% of money are on Edmonton, so the support is heavy and one-sided, yet the price has not moved. The puck line is Edmonton -1.5 at +159, with New York +1.5 at -195, also where it opened. The total is 6.5 and unmoved, with 95% of bets and 96% of money on the Over, priced at -108 against -113 for the Under.

Streaks add context on goals. Edmonton has gone over the total in four straight home games and the Rangers in three straight on the road, and each team's season rate of overs is 55.6%. Against the spread Edmonton is 12-6 and New York 9-9, though the Rangers have failed to cover four straight on the road after a win. Edmonton games have gone past regulation 27.8% of the time, against 5.6% for the Rangers. Those are descriptions of what has happened, not forecasts. Neither team has confirmed a starting goalie.