Depleted Indiana Pacers face high-scoring Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on short rest

Indiana arrives at FedExForum at 2-6 with five straight losses, facing a Memphis team that is 6-1 and scores 123 points per game, rank 1. Memphis is a 6.5-point favourite. The two factors most likely to decide the game are who Indiana can actually field and whether Memphis keeps shooting this well.

Indiana's availability is the biggest question. Tyrese Haliburton is out, with a report saying he will miss at least the next two weeks. T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy are also listed out. The injury table lists Ivica Zubac and Obi Toppin as Out, though reports dated 2026-11-03 call both questionable, so that conflict is unresolved. Kelly Oubre Jr. is Day-To-Day and questionable. Indiana played just six men in Monday's loss to the Hawks with 11 players sidelined, and this is its third game in four nights. For Memphis, Scotty Pippen Jr. is out and Quinten Post is questionable, which is a much smaller dent.

The season numbers point the same way. Memphis has a net rating of 11.2 points per 100 possessions, rank 3, against Indiana's -3.4, rank 20. Memphis shoots 42.2% from three and has an offensive rebound rate of 29.8%, while Indiana's opponents have made 37.4% of their threes against it. Indiana's defensive rating of 112.9 points allowed per 100 possessions ranks 20th. Memphis scores more per game than Indiana allows. These are samples of seven and eight games, though, and a three-point mark that high over seven games is the kind of figure that can fall back.

Some evidence pushes the other way. Memphis lost its previous game 134-135 at home, its first defeat, and its defence is solid but not elite: 110.1 points allowed per game, rank 12. Indiana is 4-4 against the spread despite the record, while Memphis is 6-1. Memphis won both recent meetings, 125-106 at Indiana on 2026-03-01 and 128-103 on 2025-10-26. The sheet does not show whether those rosters resemble tonight's, so they carry limited weight.

The market is quiet. The spread of Memphis -6.5 is where it opened, and the total of 230.5 has not moved. Both teams' games have gone over the closing total less than half the time: 37.5% for Indiana and 42.9% for Memphis. The moneyline is Memphis -262 and Indiana +202, against an opening Memphis -273 and Indiana +195, a change of no note. The price therefore reflects the gap between the teams rather than any late reaction.

Public betting splits are not available, and the sheet lists no key personnel for either side. Most of the evidence favours Memphis. The uncertainty lies in Indiana's final availability and in how much to trust a few weeks of data.